OUTLOOK – 2012 ELECTION

Just one month ago I wrote there is The Potential for a Landslide.  Since then the following events have occurred.

Artur Davis dropped his support for Obama and took the additional step of leaving the National Democratic Party.  Davis was an early and ardent supporter of Obama and gave a resounding speech in his behalf at the 2008 National Democratic Convention.  His defection is a highly significant one.

Another prominent black Democrat, Massachusetts Gov Deval Patrick came out in support of the work Romney did at Bain Capital.  Gov. Davis publicly criticized Obama for attacking Romney over his record at Bain.

Move On.org revealed that donations are not coming in as expected.  The financial aid going to Democratic candidates will be far less than in prior elections.

The National Coalition of Black Churches announced on May 21st that they are withdrawing their support for Obama’s re-election.

On May 30th Power Line blog reported that donations for Republican candidates are pouring in in record numbers.  Campaign spending may even exceed for Democrats which would be the first time in modern election history that that occurred.

Rasmussen announced the results of a poll showing that, for the first time in first time in five-and-a-half years, 50% of all likely voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on the economy.  And the economy is the number one issue in this election.

On June 1st.Bill Clinton registered disagreement with Obama’s campaign to convince the voters Romney’s business record at Bain Capital is reprehensible.  Clinton called Romney’s performance there “sterling”.

New unemployment figures were released.  The number rose significantly, back up to 8.2% and the stock market plunged – down 274.88 on the news.

Still, the Rasmussen favorability index hasn’t changed much.  It shows the two contenders in a very close race with no discernable recent trend.  Why is that?  Rasmussen polls the general public.  The disenchantment is among political insiders.  The average citizen who answers the phone when the pollster calls is not as up to date and well informed.  It’s the donors and politicians who are paying attention to the details who are backing away.  They sense a loser.

Nonetheless, 5 months is a lifetime in politics, anything can happen.  And that includes a Republican landslide.

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