Tag Archives: election 2012



Election prospects have recently turned sharply, although not decidedly, against the Democrat. This comes at a critical point in the 2012 election and at a very critical point in the history of our country. At a time like this we look to the nation’s newspaper of record, the paper whose motto is “All The News That’s Fit To Print” to see what they have to report at this critical hour.
The lead headline above the fold is “In a Surprise Move, Pandit Steps Down as Citigroup Chief.” Now I know it is called the New York Times and Citigroup’s headquarters are in New York City but this is a national, even international paper. It is not the local daily nor is it a financial reporter. There is no good news for Obama today so the editors can find nothing more newsworthy than a story about a business leader who lost his job. Heave a sigh and look further for something of world class importance.
The Online issue prominently features a video, also “above the fold.” That must be about the presidential race, no? No. It is about a Congressional race in Iowa. I think I will try the National Enquirer. Do you know if they have an Online edition?


Just one month ago I wrote there is The Potential for a Landslide.  Since then the following events have occurred.

Artur Davis dropped his support for Obama and took the additional step of leaving the National Democratic Party.  Davis was an early and ardent supporter of Obama and gave a resounding speech in his behalf at the 2008 National Democratic Convention.  His defection is a highly significant one.

Another prominent black Democrat, Massachusetts Gov Deval Patrick came out in support of the work Romney did at Bain Capital.  Gov. Davis publicly criticized Obama for attacking Romney over his record at Bain.

Move On.org revealed that donations are not coming in as expected.  The financial aid going to Democratic candidates will be far less than in prior elections.

The National Coalition of Black Churches announced on May 21st that they are withdrawing their support for Obama’s re-election.

On May 30th Power Line blog reported that donations for Republican candidates are pouring in in record numbers.  Campaign spending may even exceed for Democrats which would be the first time in modern election history that that occurred.

Rasmussen announced the results of a poll showing that, for the first time in first time in five-and-a-half years, 50% of all likely voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on the economy.  And the economy is the number one issue in this election.

On June 1st.Bill Clinton registered disagreement with Obama’s campaign to convince the voters Romney’s business record at Bain Capital is reprehensible.  Clinton called Romney’s performance there “sterling”.

New unemployment figures were released.  The number rose significantly, back up to 8.2% and the stock market plunged – down 274.88 on the news.

Still, the Rasmussen favorability index hasn’t changed much.  It shows the two contenders in a very close race with no discernable recent trend.  Why is that?  Rasmussen polls the general public.  The disenchantment is among political insiders.  The average citizen who answers the phone when the pollster calls is not as up to date and well informed.  It’s the donors and politicians who are paying attention to the details who are backing away.  They sense a loser.

Nonetheless, 5 months is a lifetime in politics, anything can happen.  And that includes a Republican landslide.


In a poll released today, by Bloomberg, 30% of all those polled said they definitely will vote for Obama in 2012.  36% said they definitely will not.  Among likely voters the numbers are even more striking.  Only 23% said they definitely will vote for Obama while 37% said they definitely will not.  The Republican Party doesn’t need to win; they only need not to lose.

Tennis is said to be a Loser’s Game.  By that it’s meant that it’s the loser, not the winner, who determines the outcome.  The loser blows it and gives the game away.  The moral is, if you want to win just return the ball, don’t try to blow your opponents socks off.  In that case the coach should say, Mrs. Palin, Mr. Paul you’re out.  Look for Democrats to vote to nominate Palin in those states that allow cross voting for party nominations.  It could be their only hope.

Of course all this is predicated on an unstable foundation; which is that the economy doesn’t show much improvement in the next sixteen months.  A week is an eternity in politics.  But right now an election would be a landslide.