Category Archives: Opinion

THE DEBT AND DESTINY OF THE UNITED STATES

Why the Debt Ceiling Fight Is So Fierce

Really now, how serious is this national debt problem?.  Figures fly at us like a fleet of locusts.  The onslaught of numbers comes from all directions, talk radio, think tanks, politicians and from agencies of the government itself.  The size alone makes it impossible to relate.

We have been told how many freight cars it would take to hold a trillion one dollar bills and how many times a trillion dollars worth of sawbucks would go around the world laid end to end.  But that doesn’t tell us anything useful; it just shows the numbers are big.  We knew that.  Then we read about percentages of GDP.  What does that mean?  How can we relate?  How can we make sense of it?  We do it by relating expenses and debt to income, not to freight cars or GDP.  Our table relates the financial state of the nation to basic family finances.

The government numbers in the table are fixed.  Except for Unfunded Liabilities which is an estimate; the figures are reported facts.  The family side is a “what-if” table.  It answers the question — if a family had an income of 80,000 dollars with spending and debt in the same ratio to family income as the government ratios, where would the family be?

The answer is nearly unimaginable.  Such a family would have a half million dollars in outstanding debt, over 600,000 dollars in additional future commitments, no savings and still spending nearly 60% more than they earn.  Is it any wonder the rating agencies are prepping us for a downgrade?  Is it any wonder why there is a stalemate in Congress when some members, with the backing of the president, actually want to increase federal spending and debt while others insist on cutting both before it’s too late?

If your income is half the 80,000, cut the rest of the numbers on the family side in half.  If your income is double, double them.  If you have a blog please feel free to take the table and use it as you wish.  The more distribution it gets, the better.

Click the table to enlarge it.

FAA SHUTDOWN — THE WAR OF OPINIONS

Congress Forces Partial Shutdown Of FAA, Leaves Thousands Without Pay

by Jennifer Bendery, Huffington Post

That is Ms. Bendery’s headline at the HuffPo. How would you read it?

Is it news? No, the FAA is not shut down either partially or fully and no one has been left without pay. Okay, let’s give a little poetic license and allow that Jennifer may have meant Congress May Force Shutdown…; then would it be news? No, it would be opinion.

Another journalist might say Harry Reid Forces Shutdown… or President Obama Forces Shutdown…, all equally plausible opinions. The Republican House won’t budge (yet), Harry Reid won’t allow the bill passed in the House to clear the Senate and Obama says he would veto it anyhow. So who would be the responsible party if some air traffic controllers were to become furloughed as a result of the impasse? It would be, and forever remain, a matter of opinion.

The parties in Washington are fighting a war over public opinion. In that sense, the Republicans are fighting on their opponent’s home turf. Democrat’s, good ones and bad, have always been the masters at appealing to fears and emotions. They are the wordmasters and words are what shape public opinion.

The Republicans are not the problem. The Republicans are the solution to the problem. (How did you like that one? I channeled Reagan for it.) Or as Walter Cronkite would never say, “It’s the Democrats, stupid!”

RANDOM THOTS – THE COLUMN

Inflation
Don’t look now, but inflation is peeking around the corner.

We are getting a very, very sharp rebound in core inflation and much more than the Fed had bargained for.”  Eric Green, chief economist at TD Securities in New York.

Overall consumer prices were up 3.6 percent from a year earlier,   Reuters

Last months drop in gasoline prices masked the increases in everything else. The wholesale price of cheese is up 23% since year end, butter 45%. Grocers are absorbing much of the price increase but that won’t prevail very long.

The debt thing
Obama says the American public is crying out for higher taxes. It’s just stubborn ideologues in Congress who are opposed to paying more income tax. He may be 45% right. That’s the number of people who pay no taxes but still enjoy benefits paid for by those who do.

The President says Congress is ignoring the will of the people by keeping taxes down. The solution is simple; add another line to the income tax form so all the unhappy people can add whatever extra amount makes them happy.

Big oil profits
ExxonMobil’s has operations in more than 100 countries around the world. The part of the business that refines and sells gasoline and diesel in the United States represents less than 3 percent – or 3 cents on the dollar – of Exxon’s total earnings. For every gallon of gasoline, diesel or finished products the company manufactured and sold in the United States in the last three months of 2010, Exxon earned a little more than 2 cents. That’s not a typo. Two cents.

Large oil companies risk capital, have big holdings confiscated by nations, transport crude from well to refinery, refine or pay for refining and transport the final product to thousands of service stations.  For that they make about 2 cents a gallon.  Federal and State governments do none of it, yet they make an average 50.1 cents per gallon in taxes.  Then the demagogues call the oil companies rapists.

SCORE – OBAMA 39, ANY REPUBLICAN 47

Gallup has just released their monthly poll of registered voters. Just 39% said they will likely vote for Obama in the 2012 election. While 47% said they would be more likely to vote for any Republican who ran against him. Eight points is a very significant spread. The Dude is in deep doodoo.

That’s not a pretty picture. How about this one – the bloom is off the rose. Obama was going to close Gitmo. He didn’t. Obama was going to end the “Bush tax cuts for the rich.” He didn’t. Obama was going to bring down unemployment. He didn’t. Obama was going to bring new transparency to government. He didn’t. Whatever you hoped for, Obama was going to change things and make it happen. He didn’t. Obama was going to raise worldwide respect for America. He didn’t. Obama was going to heal the planet, make the oceans recede and create new jobs for the jobless. He didn’t.

More and more of the President’s supporters are realizing that Yes We Can was a hollow slogan by a president who can’t. But conservatives must not become complacent. A day can be like a year in politics. It is not a time for rest. The truth is our weapon and we must continue brandishing it with fervor.

PAUL KRUGMAN’S CASH CON

This article was first published in the American Thinker blog on July 6, 2011 as Krugman’s Con. It is reprinted here with Mr.  Krugman’s statements indented for easier reading.

KRUGMAN’S CON
by Robert R. Barker

Taking Paul Krugman apart is such a simple task.  No other person can be so wrong so many times on so many things in just a single sentence.

Watching the evolution of economic discussion in Washington over the past couple of years has been a disheartening experience. Month by month, the discourse has gotten more primitive; with stunning speed, the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis have been forgotten, and the very ideas that got us into the crisis – regulation is always bad, what’s good for the bankers is good for America, tax cuts are the universal elixir – have regained their hold.

No one ever said “regulation is always bad,” except a few Democrats when they want to slander conservatives.  Good regulation is part of the Rule of Law applauded by the Right.  Only bad regulations are bad, and there are plenty of them.

No one ever said “what’s good for the banker’s is good for America.”  Here Krugman seems to be making a play on a famous comment Charlie Wilson’s made in 1955 when he was president of General Motors.  Wilson is said to have said — What’s good for General Motors is good for America.  But there’s one problem.  Wilson never said that.  What he actually said was quite the opposite — What’s good for America is good for General Motors.  It was a statement of acquiescence that the Left twisted to look like one of arrogance.  Are we to believe that the Nobel Prize winning economist didn’t know that?

No one ever said tax cuts, or the lack thereof, had anything to do with the 2008 financial crisis.  Very few voices have called for tax cuts since 2008.  What the Right argues is that raising taxes during periods of recession can be disastrous.  If the Bush tax rates had not been extended, tax rates would be higher in 2011 than in 2010.  Only a Democrat could call that a tax cut.

Why should anyone believe that handing even more money to corporations, no strings attached, would lead to faster job creation?

This sort of notion is born of the belief that all money belongs to the government.  The issue here is not about money given to corporations by the government; it’s about how much of the money a corporation earns should the corporation be allowed to keep.

Consider first the arguments Republicans are using to defend outrageous tax loopholes. How can people simultaneously demand savage cuts in Medicare and Medicaid and defend special tax breaks favoring hedge fund managers and owners of corporate jets?

“Outrageous tax loopholes” is such an oft repeated mantra of the Left that it should be hyphenated.  A loophole is an unintended path of avoidance.  What Krugman is alluding to is the accelerated rate of depreciation offered as an incentive for investment in equipment.  It was part of the stimulus package promoted by President Obama.  It’s not a loophole; it was very much intended.

That only covers the first 3 paragraphs of Krugman’s article.  It’s enough.

CHICKEN COLLISSION

When a game of chicken ends in a collision, whom do you blame?  The driver you liked the least, of course.

And so it is in Washington.  The game is played periodically and the division has always been about spending.  Those who want to raise spending the most stand opposed to those who want to raise spending the least.  This time there is a new twist.  One side does not want to raise spending at all.  Previously, the battle has been about votes.  This time it’s about the survival of the nation.

Not that the impasse is some sort of crucial tipping point.  It’s not.  But we are facing sovereign insolvency and are governed by a president who seems to like it that way.  This is not a case where compromise is honorable.  But unfortunately, compromise is a necessary expedient.  In the final analysis, it is still about votes.  Obama and Reid are the problems du jour and they cannot be replaced without votes.  For better or worse, such are the workings of a democracy.

The debt limit will be raised, but only by a fraction of what the President wants.

JUST SOME RANDOM THOTS

If you visit quality blogs, you will find many quality comments. This is particularly true for sites that do not publish anonymous comments. What follows below is but a sample. It was submitted in response to a Power Line article about the Muslim Brotherhood and the Grand Jihad.

Ken Willis · University of Denver

The Obama Doctrine in the opposite of the Truman Doctrine. The latter was containment of Communism, the former is containment of the United States.

The Obamanists believe the U.S. is a militaristic, patronizing international bully that must be reined in. Friends and allies of the United States represent obstacles to the Obama mission of transforming the country. Enemies are seen as convenient sources of assistance to the final accomplishment of changing America’s role in world affairs from an aggressive, arrogant nation lecturing others on such things as democracy and freedom to a communal and co-equal partner with other nations. According to Obama, “any world order that elevates one nation or group of people over another will inevitably fail.”

The decline of the United States is seen as a positive development by Obama. A suggestion that the United States has been a force for good in the world is seen merely as proof of its arrogance.

That the Grand Jihad is an effort of one group to dominate others is conveniently ignored, or seen as America getting its just deserts.

The term “civil service” isn’t used as much as it once was. When I was a toddler, civil service meant low pay, low workload and early retirement with lots of security. They were positions of service to the civilian community. Today they are high pay, low workload and early retirement jobs with lots of security. They no longer qualify to be called a service. From what I see, many of the workers no longer qualify to be called civil either.

Obama said he had campaigned in all 57 states. He said it twice. Now southern California wants to split with their compatriots in the north. Could it be that Obama knew something the rest of us didn’t? Perhaps he was just off on the timing. Obama also said Hillary’s home state of Arkansas bordered on Kentucky and his state of Illinois did not. He gave that as the reason Hillary was polling better than he was in Kentucky. That would require some border changes too. Hmm…

CIVILITY DEMOCRAT STYLE – REPUBLICANS ARE LIKE NAZIS AND THEY WANT TO KILL WOMEN

Rummaging through some older scribblings that never were posted I came across these.  They are a bit out dated but I found them too telling to delete without posting them.  How the leaders of one party can make stupid vicious statements like these, and then claim the intellectual and moral high ground is somehow fascinating in the extreme.

Republicans Against Abortion Came to “Kill Women”

One of the leading pro-abortion members of the House is causing furor today with her comment that the pro-life Republicans recently elected to Congress want women to die of cancer.

Congresswoman Louise Slaughter (D NY) compared Republican efforts to revoke taxpayer funding for Planned Parenthood to actions taken by the Nazi regime in Germany during World War II.

“This is probably one of the worst times we’ve seen because the numbers of people elected to Congress. I went through this as co-chair of the arts caucus,” Slaughter said, according to a CNS News report. ”In ’94 people were elected simply to come here to kill the National Endowment for the Arts. Now they’re here to kill women.”

Harry Reid  – “Republicans don’t want women to get cancer screenings.”

Reuters reports : “Republicans want to shut down the government because they think there’s nothing more important than keeping women from getting cancer screenings.” Reid said on the Senate floor.

OBAMA RELEASES STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVES

U.S. national security has been forfeited to political expediency.  The Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) are maintained in order to be available in the event of a national emergency.  Before this release the reserves were sufficient to protect us for just 59 days in the event of total disruption of imports.  That hardly seems adequate for calmer times let alone the period of .of geo-instability we are seeing right now.

The price of crude oil is down 19% from its recent high.  There is no upward price pressure.  There is no world shortage.  There is no interruption of supply.  Expectations are for weakening demand, not an increase; the markets are telling us that.  But now, when prices at the pump continue the decline that was already underway, the President will be in position to claim credit for lowering the price of gasoline and few people will be the wiser.

In reality, the impact will be minimal no matter what quantity he ultimately orders sold from the government supply into the market.  Furthermore, it will have only a one shot effect.  About 50% of U.S. oil consumption is imported.  If perchance, 10% of the SPR is released it would be a one time injection of 3 days consumption or less than 1% of a year’s consumption.

It’s dumb acts like this that cause some to wonder if Obama does not have the weakening of America as one of his objectives.  Sometimes it is not easy to decide whether he is incredibly dumb when it comes to economics or intentionally destructive.

OBAMA 23 – ANYONE ELSE 37

In a poll released today, by Bloomberg, 30% of all those polled said they definitely will vote for Obama in 2012.  36% said they definitely will not.  Among likely voters the numbers are even more striking.  Only 23% said they definitely will vote for Obama while 37% said they definitely will not.  The Republican Party doesn’t need to win; they only need not to lose.

Tennis is said to be a Loser’s Game.  By that it’s meant that it’s the loser, not the winner, who determines the outcome.  The loser blows it and gives the game away.  The moral is, if you want to win just return the ball, don’t try to blow your opponents socks off.  In that case the coach should say, Mrs. Palin, Mr. Paul you’re out.  Look for Democrats to vote to nominate Palin in those states that allow cross voting for party nominations.  It could be their only hope.

Of course all this is predicated on an unstable foundation; which is that the economy doesn’t show much improvement in the next sixteen months.  A week is an eternity in politics.  But right now an election would be a landslide.